Corinthians ended a 10-match winless run last Friday with a 2-0 victory over Mirassol at Neo Química Arena in the Campeonato Brasileiro. The win, under coach Seedorf, took Corinthians to 36 points and moved the club above Internacional, which has 35. Corinthians are 17th and open the relegation zone.
According to the Mathematics and Statistics Department at the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Corinthians' risk of relegation to Série B is now 42.7%, down from 66% before the Mirassol match. The 33rd round ended last Saturday, and the gap between 11th-placed Coritiba and 17th-placed Corinthians is only six points.
Internacional are 18th and face a 57.2% relegation risk, according to UFMG. The club lost 2-1 to Fluminense at the Maracanã in the last round. Mirassol, beaten by Corinthians, are the first team outside the relegation zone with 37 points; their risk rose to 32.9%.
Grêmio are 15th with 37 points after wins over Coritiba and Athletico-PR, and UFMG puts their relegation risk at 36.5%. Coritiba beat Vitória 2-0 last Saturday to end a seven-match winless run, moved to 11th with 42 points and have a 0.79% risk.
UFMG's relegation-risk figures after the 33rd round also include Chapecoense at 99.99%, Remo at 99.2%, Vitória at 14.7%, Vasco at 8.2%, Botafogo at 7.8%, São Paulo at 0.024% and Red Bull Bragantino at 0.005%.
Sources: CNN Brasil.