Brazil is watching the US midterm elections closely, with officials hoping that a possible Democratic victory could improve the prospects for renewed bilateral negotiations. The assessment, reported by CNN anchor Tainá Falcão, is that a loss of Republican control in Congress could constrain President Donald Trump and encourage a more pragmatic approach toward Brazil.
Advisers to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva believe a changed balance in Congress could lead Trump to reconsider his priorities during the final two years of his term. They see a possibility of less US involvement in Latin American political affairs and greater willingness to discuss tariffs.
Talks over tariffs on Brazilian goods have been on hold since the countries’ last meeting on September 30. Brazil is waiting for the United States to provide a list of its demands before discussions can move forward. Government sources also suggest that changes in Congress could prompt a reshuffle of Trump’s team and bring new interlocutors into the talks. A Democratic majority could also create room for discussions on issues of interest to Brazil, including regulation of major technology companies.
The election result, however, is not expected to guarantee an immediate change in Washington’s position. CNN political analyst Isabel Mega said the negotiations had already been delayed first by Brazil’s elections and then by the US midterms. Some sources believe a weakened Trump might become more open to negotiations with countries such as Brazil, she said, but stressed that his unpredictability makes the outcome difficult to forecast.
Mega also noted that tariffs can raise costs for US consumers, an issue central to the midterm elections. At the same time, Trump could choose a more confrontational course, and figures close to him, including Marco Rubio, may influence US relations with Latin America. Brazilian officials regard the United States as an important trading partner and are following the election with interest as well as caution.
Sources: CNN Brasil.